Reported in an article published the day before the Virginia gubernatorial election. 'Trumpism without Trump' could be the way forward, Steve Bannon says of histsorically unpopular president. (Newsweek, 11/6/2017)
As we soon learned, Northam improved on Clinton's victory margin by 3.5 percentage points. The polls averages were 7.1 percentages points off the mark.
11/9/2017 update, "You're forgiven if you thought the media and polls conspired to make the Virginia gubernatorial election a horse race", starts here.
Hmm.
Source: Real Clear Politics
FiveThirtyEight awarded The Polling Company (note the 3 red arrows) a 'B' in its latest pollster ratings. Yikes!
And what's with that Hampton poll, with Northam at 33%. Not even Rasmussen is this reckless. (Hampton also got a 'B'.)
Reported in With Virginia, Voters Give Democrats First Big Wins of the Trump Era. (The New York Times, 11/7/2017)
The [scorched earth] strategy appeared to help Mr. Gillespie narrow the gap in the wake of the Charlottesville protests this summer, but it was not enough to overcome the anti-Trump energy in an increasingly diverse state that has not elected a Republican to statewide office since 2009.
Original 11/7/ post, "Virginia gubernatorial polls seriously underestimate Democratic turnout", starts here.
By 8.9 percentage points!
AP: Democrat Ralph Northam wins Va. governor's race. (Richmond Times-Dispatch, 11/7/2017)
The Associated Press called the contest at 8:12 p.m. About 30 minutes later, Trump, traveling in Asia, criticized Gillespie on Twitter.
"Ed Gillespie worked hard but did not embrace me or what I stand for," Trump wrote.
And now we know why!
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