If we take Ezra's advice, then Hillary is well-positioned at this point in the Presidential campaign

Trump hasn't won a national poll in over a month.

Vox, 6/24/2016

Hillary Clinton’s 7-point lead over Donald Trump still makes her the favorite, but if those numbers flip, take it seriously. Pundits who stick to their priors even when the data tells them to abandon ship are not faring well this year.

Source:  Real Clear Politics