Once Trump inches above the 40% level, his poll numbers start to recede

As they are doing now.

Is Trump still riding the seesaw, or have we entered a new stage of the campaign?

In the meantime, Rand Paul sez, "I'm not goin' away."

Source:  Real Clear Politics

The behinders in the 1/22-27IBD/TIPP poll:

• 2% - John Kasich, Carly Fiorina
• 1% - Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum

Other stuff:  President Obama’s job approval rating climbed to 49% from 43% in early January.  (Apparently, he's looking much better in comparison to the current crop of candidates.)

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