Friday, September 3, 2010
What History Has to Say About Wisconsin's 2010 Senate and Gubernatorial Races
Link to September 2 Smart Politics blogpost, "History Says Barrett Win in Wisconsin Governor's Race Hinges on Feingold Victory".
Excerpt: A general rule of thumb when anticipating results on Election Day is that the race at the top of the ticket in a state will frequently dictate what happens in contests further down the ballot.
But when it comes to gubernatorial elections in Wisconsin, there has been a different calculus at work.
A Smart Politics analysis of historical election returns in Wisconsin finds that Democratic gubernatorial candidates have lost every election since 1914 in which the Democratic U.S. Senate candidate did not prevail - 15 out of 15 races.
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