Add This Report to Your Reading List: 'Demographic Change and the Future of the Parties'

About Ruy Teixeira

FiveThirtyEight blogpost

Excerpt:  (1st paragraph of 'Introduction and summary' section):
The tectonic plates of American politics are shifting. A powerful concatenation of demographic forces is transforming the American electorate and reshaping both major political parties. And, as demographic trends continue, this transformation and reshaping will deepen. The Democratic Party will become even more dominated by the emerging constituencies that gave Barack Obama his historic 2008 victory, while the Republican Party will be forced to move toward the center to compete for these constituencies. As a result, modern conservatism is likely to lose its dominant place in the GOP.