Tuesday, June 16, 2009

2010 State Elections: Incumbency a Liability?



Link to June 16 stateline.org post, "Tracking the recession: State leaders suffer political backlash".

Excerpt: A recession is no time for governors and state legislators to win a popularity contest with voters. There’s not much upside to slashing programs and services and raising taxes, no matter which party you are in or how many votes you got in the last election.


The article focuses on 3 states: New York, where former guv Eliot Spitzer now has a higher approval rating than current guv David Patterson; New Jersey, where Corzine's current approval rating is his lowest ever;; and California, where the Governator has found himself in the deepest doo-doo of his life.

Gov. Doyle is mentioned as someone who's experienced a drop in popularity. However, a Research 2000 poll conducted for the Daily Kos shows these results.

June 6/8-10. Likely voters. MoE: ±4%.

Jim Doyle (D-inc) 48
Scott Walker (R) 36
Undecided 16

Jim Doyle (D-inc) 49
Mark Neumann (R) 35
Undecided 16

Jim Doyle (D-inc) 45
Tommy Thompson (R) 47
Undecided 8

On the other hand, this poll has Doyle trailing Neumann.

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