Monday, September 9, 2019

Which way you goin' in 2020, Muskegon County, Michigan?


Map source:  Geology.com

Reported in The 10 counties that will decide the 2020 election. (The Hill, 9/4/2019)

Source:  Wikipedia (Muskegon County, Muskegon)


Although the City of Muskegon comprises 21.5% of the county's population, 47.5% of the county's blacks reside there.  The city's population is 31.2% black.

Percentage of population 25 and older with a bachelor's degree:
  • 12.3% - City of Muskegon
  • 18.6% - Muskegon County
  • 28.1% - Michigan 
  • 30.9% - U.S.
Percentage of population 65 and older:
  • 12.8% - City of Muskegon
  • 17.0% - Muskegon County
  • 17.2% - Michigan
  • 15.6% - U.S.
% of population living in poverty:
  • 34.7% - City of Muskegon
  • 15.2% - Muskegon County
  • 14.2% - Michigan
  • 11.6% - U.S.

Not necessarily Trump's America, but Democrats have lost a lot of ground since 2008

Source:  Wikipedia 
3rd-party candidates received 21.8% of vote in 1992, 9.8% of vote in 1996, 6.7% in 2016
(George Wallace received 10.2% of the vote in 1968.)

Related reading:
From Trump country to heart of 'Resist,' Michigan's landscape ahead of 2020 election.  (mlive, 7/30/2019)
About 20 miles east of Lansing, Williamston is the kind of community that could decide whether Trump wins re-election. 
It’s an affluent township where a majority of adults have a college degree and the median household income exceeds $110,000. And there was a time when the township was reliably Republican. Williamston Township backed Rick Snyder twice for governor and opted for Mitt Romney over Obama by a 6-point margin. 
But in 2016, the township reflected the concerns college-educated voters have had about Trump, who got 13 votes fewer than Clinton – 1,579 to 1,592. 
And in 2018, support for Democrats grew here. Gretchen Whitmer took 54% of the township’s vote in the governor’s race, and voters gave 55% of their ballots to Democrat Elissa Slotkin, helping her to unseat Congressman Mike Bishop.

Retiring Guy's prediction:  Not sure if Muskegon County will be much of a player, but it may not matter.  The demographic divide here between city and county is a cause for concern.

Other "Which way you goin'" posts:
Sauk County, Wisconsin.  (9/5/2019)
Washington County, Minnesota.  (9/6/2019)
Tarrant County, Texas.  (9/7/2019)

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