Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Too many Democrats snoozed their way through Wisconsin's Supreme Court race (Shawano County edition)

An election that is nonpartisan in name only.

Sources:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (2018, 2019)

Hagedorn received 86% more votes than Screnock, while Neubauer received 17% more votes than Dallet. 

Top 10 counties where Hagedorn received 
the largest % change # of votes

Mapped

Source: Wikipedia

Related reading:
The Daily 202: A wake-up call for Democrats in Wisconsin, which could be the closest battleground of 2020.  (Washington Post, 4/5/2019)
A win is a win, of course, but the closeness of the past few statewide contests showcases the purple state’s emergence as what strategists in both parties predict will be the tightest battleground in 2020. By several metrics, the Badger State appears to be as close to a 50-50 state right now as any other in the nation, and operatives on both sides agree that it will be a top target for the next 19 months.
Hagedorn's Ugly Wake-up Call.  (Shepherd Express, 4/9/2019)
Just in time to prevent progressive Wisconsin voters from getting too cocky about ridding their state of rightwing Republican Gov. Scott Walker, Brian Hagedorn, an extremely disturbing state Supreme Court candidate, appears to have eked out a narrow victory. 
It was an ugly wake-up call after last April’s election of respected Justice Rebecca Dallet to the court and November’s Democratic sweep by Gov. Tony Evers, Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Attorney General Josh Kaul. 
Democrats had high hopes of continuing to restore Wisconsin’s reputation as a reliably progressive state ahead of the 2020 presidential election when Appeals Court Judge Lisa Neubauer’s opponent turned out to be Walker’s former legal counsel Hagedorn, who expressed contempt for same-sex relationships and considered gays the equivalent of people engaging in sex with animals
A Red Warning Sign:  A Wisconsin election brings double disappointment for Democrats.  (The New York Times, 4/5/2019).
Wisconsin Supreme Court races are statewide, and Hagedorn’s win suggests that Wisconsin remains up for grabs heading into President Trump’s re-election campaign. Republican voters now seem quite energized, and turnout was high in conservative areas, like Waukesha County, just west of Milwaukee. “The GOP’s win in Wisconsin Supreme Court race showed a base that’s waking up,” Reid Wilson of The Hill noted.  [emphasis added]
GOP sees positive 2020 sign in Wisconsin Supreme Court race (Washington Post, 4/3/2019)
While Republicans were excited, they were also cautious about what Hagedorn’s showing means for President Donald Trump’s re-election. “Nobody should assume because Republicans won this race that they will continue to win everything else,” Republican strategist and former state GOP leader Brandon Scholz said. 
“This is one election where all the pieces came together at the end. 2020 is an entirely different, politically charged animal with the presidential race.”
Gains in northern Wisconsin boost Hagedorn to narrow lead in Wisconsin Supreme Court race.  (Milwaukee Journal  Sentinel, 4/3/2019) 

Exhibit G, Shawano County, shown above.  Of the 20 counties with the biggest swings in a conservative direction over the 2018 court race, all but two were in those two northern TV markets. 

How other counties voted:
Adams.  (4/9/2019)
Ashland.  (4/9/2019)
Barron.  (4/9/2019)
Bayfield.  (4/9/2019)
Brown.  (4/9/2019)
Buffalo.  (4/9/2019)
Burnett.  (4/9/2019)
Calumet.  (4/9/2019
Chippewa.  (4/9/2019)
Clark.  (4/9/2019)
Columbia.  (4/9/2019)
Crawford.  (4/9/2019)
Dane.  (4/9/2019)
Dodge.  (4/10/2019)
Door.  (4/10/2019)
Douglas.  (4/10/2019)
Dunn.  (4/10/2019)
Eau Claire.  (4/10/2019)
Florence.  (4/10/2019)
Fond du Lac.  (4/10/2019)
Forest.  (4/10/2019)
Grant.  (4/10/2019)
Green.  (4/10/2019)
Green Lake. (4/10/2019)
Iowa  (4/11/2019)
Iron. (4/11/2019)
Jackson.  (4/11/2019)
Jefferson.  (4/11/2019)
Juneau.  (4/11/2019)
Kenosha.  (4/11/2019)
Kewaunee. (4/12/2019)
La Crosse.  (4/12/2019)
Lafayette. (4/12/2019)
Langlade.  (4/12/2019)
Lincoln.  (4/12/2019)
Manitowoc.  (4/12/2019)
Marathon.  (4/13/2019)
Marinette.  (4/13/2019)
Marquette.  (4/13/2019)
Menomonie.  (4/13/2019)
Milwaukee.  (4/13/2019)
Monroe.  (4/14/2019)
Oconto.  (4/14/2019)
Oneida.  (4/14/2019)
Outagamie.  (4/14/2019)
Ozaukee.  (4/14/2019)
Pepin.  (4/15/2019)
Pierce.  (4/15/2019)
Polk.  (4/15/2019)
Portage.  (4/15/2019)
Price.  (4/15/2019)
Racine.  (4/15/2019)
Richland.  (4/16/2019)
Rock.  (4/16/2019)
Rusk.  (4/16/2019)
Sauk.  (4/17/2019)
Sawyer.  (4/17/2019)

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