Saturday, November 10, 2018

Scott Walker expresses his appreciation for 30,000 more votes than he received in 2014



And I'm sure Tony Evers appreciates receiving 201,735 more votes than Mary Burke received in 2014.


Source:  Wikipedia (presidential, gubernatorial 20102014,, 2018)

Glenn Grothman, dedicated follower of political fashion, fills us in



Reported in Glenn Grothman: Voting Democratic is 'fashionable'.  (Madicon.som, 11/10/2018)

As for The Kinks, "Dedicated Follower of Fashion" was their 8th single to make the Billboard Hot 100.  It debuted at #80 for the week ending May 21, 1966.  It spent just 6 weeks on the chart, peaking at #38.

The Glenn Grothman chronicles:
July-Dec 2018
"Good guy' Greg Gianforte sends Glenn Grothman a check.  (11/2/2018)
When you know you're at the bottom of the GOP food chain: Eric Trump headlines Glenn Grothman rally.  (10/31/2018)
Stamp to a letter, birds of a feather clown show: Gushing over Greg Gianforte, both Donald Trump and Glenn Grothman say "that's my kind of guy".  (10/19/2018)
As the election approaches, Glenn Grothman's babbling intensifies.  (10/6/2018)
Dear voters of Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, this gibberish should convince you this clown should be kicked out of office.  (9/27/2018)
Get me rewrite. More than just tweets: Everything about Trump encourages Democrats and independents to sweep gomers like Glenn Grothman out of office.  (8/9/2018)
Dear Glenn Grothman, Repeat after me: YALTA.  (7/23/2018)
Dear Glenn Grothman, Does this mean you don't support Donald Trump's military parade?  (7/19/2018)

Jan-Jun 2018
Could we please, please, get rid of this clown?  (6/21/2018)
Glenn Grothman in so many words:  The ruination of America is people with darker skin tones.  (1/27/2018)
Glenn Grothman shares etiquette advice on KFIZ.  (1/19/2018)
Memo to Glenn Grothman: Next time you see Donald Trump, give him a great big kiss, mwah!  (1/18/2018)
UPDATE: The demented clown, otherwise known as Glenn Grothman, returns to the topic of Al Sharpton at MLK event.  (1/18/2018)
Newspaper editorial calls out Glenn Grothman for his (a) mispresentation or (b) lie.  (1/11/2018) 
Glenn Grothman cries on the shoulder of his favorite KFIZ deejay. (1/9/2018)

Jul-Dec 2017
Glenn Grothman: Government welfare for me but not for thee.  (12/27/2017)
Our resident clown Glenn Grothman tells just half of the story.  (12/24/2017)
Like Vermin Supreme, Glenn Grothman believes that there should be free ponies for all Americans.  (12/15/2017)
A letter sent without fear of retribution.  (12/3/2017)
The insightful Glenn Grothman was talking to a gal.  (11/22/2017)
Dear Dan Kohl, If you substitute 'clownish' for 'partisan', the arrow moves hard right.  (11/9/2017)
The malevolent conservatism and clownish inhumanity of Glenn Grothman.  (10/25/2017)
Glenn Grothman sets a ridiculously low bar regarding hurricane aid to Puerto Rico.  (10/24/2017)
Glenn Grothman demands that a border wall be built.  (8/31/2017)
Here's something on which Glenn Grothman and I agree.  (8/10/2017)
Glenn Grothman wants us all to die.  Or not to fly.  (7/20/2017)
Short-term memory loss and The Glenn Grothman 24/7 Clown Show.  (7/15/2017) 
Steady drip-drip-drip inside Glenn Grothman's head vs. steady drip-drip-drip of evidence Russian collusion.  (7/13/2017)

Apr-Jun 2017
Glenn Grothman gives a big thumbs up to Pennsylvania's congressional districts.  (6/22/2017)
Glenn Grothman on the Paris Accord:  The blithering goes on.  (6/7/2017)
Dear Glenn Grothman, Not that anyone is listening to you.  (6/5/2017)
Oh, yeah, I just bet he does.   (6/1/2017)
It's bromance time for Glenn Grothman, sez Greg Gianforte seems like a good guy.  (5/26/2017)
At Glenn Grothman's groan-inducing town hall.  (5/2/2017)
51 U.S. House members implore Trump to legalize LGBT discrimination.  (4/27/2017)
At KFIZ, everybody loves a clown.  (4/17/2017)
Wishful thinking: Glenn Grothman does a little Mick Jagger at the podium during Sheboygan listening session.  (4/11/2017).

Jan-Mar 2017
What DO they think of Glenn Grothman on Capitol Hill?  (1/31/2017)
Not a Muslim ban, Glenn Grothman? The numbers indicate otherwise.  (1/31/2017)
On the other hand, some might say we do need Congressmen, but we can not have the wrong Congressmen.  (1/2/2017)

2016
The conservative values of Glenn Grothman, straight shooter and exemplary public servant.  (10/30/20176
GOP donor and Neenah realtor pens letter to editor, praises Glenn Grothman.  (10/28/2016)
Well, Glenn Grothman, looks as though Donald Trump and Paul Ryan won't accompany Mr. Gumpy on his outing.  (10/20/2016)
Meet the 3 Stooges who introduced Donald Trump at yesterday's rally in Green Bay.  (10/18/2016)
Likely to be other reasons why Trump and Glenn Grothman's relationship might be "less than perfect".  (10/13/2016)
Recommended reading from Glenn Grothman.  (3/3/2016)
Once again, Grothman does the blah blah blah.  (1/13/2016)

2015
Tea Party alert: Glenn Grothman supports increase in federal gas tax.  (12/29/2015)
Glenn Grothman's moving service.  (11/16/2015)
Glenn Grothman: Still trying to get to 'yes' with Paul Ryan.  (10/18/2015) 
Dear Glenn Grothman, Breaking up is hard to do.  (10/17/2015) 
He's a guy, and has access to 'all machines that one would need'.  (9/29/2015) 
Meet the Members of the Republican Study Committee: Glenn Grothman (R-WI, 6th District).  (8/18/2015)
What about seeing the light, Representative Grothman?  (8/11/2015)
Glenn Grothman's gibberish in full flower.  (7/1/2015)
Rep. Glenn Grothman puts corporate personhood first.  (6/23/2015)
Glenn Grothman Finds His Voice in Washington, D.C. (6/19/2015)
Glenn Grothman goes seriously bland on us.  (5/12/2015)
Glenn Grothman's lips are zipped.  (4/9/2015)
Glenn Grothman Speaks the Language of the Godfather of states' rights.  (1/13/2015)

2014
Glenn Grothman, Quiet Man.  (10/12/2014)
Tom Petri returns the favor to Glenn Grothman.  (9/5/2014)
Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District primary: Less than 12% of voters paid attention.  (8/24/2014)
Hey guys and gals, Scott Walker is not 100% convinced that Glenn Grothman can win the 6th CD. (8/23/2014)
Career politician Glenn Grothman moves one step closer to Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District general election.  (8/22/2014)
To the tune of $692,000.   (8/14/2014)
Glenn Grothman:  A man without a mandate.  (8/14/2014)
Glenn Grothman to Tom Petri: Thank you for your 35 years of service.  (8/1/2014)
Duey Stroebel can't be bothered with fundraising, looks to buy seat instead.  (8/1/2014)
Clearly, "common-sense bills" and "Grothman" should never be used in the same sentence.(7/9/2014)
Two career politicians pledge limited service in the U.S. House of Representatives.  (7/8/2014)

Adventures in clickbait: Turning heads only because nobody can find them


Because they don't exist.  At least not in Middleton, Wisconsin.



screenshots

According to Merriam Webster, the first known use of 'clickbait' occurred in 1999.

Other coinages from the same year:
  1. blog
  2. blogger
  3. blogosphere
  4. texting

Booker T. and the MG's "Hang 'em High" debuts on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending November 9, 1968


Booker T. & the MG's 12th single to chart and the first to reach the top 10 since "Green Onions" in the fall of 1962,  "Hang'em High" probably saved the group from being dubbed a one-hit wonder, in spite of their influential career as the house band for Stax Records

Related links:
Booker T. and the MG's Jones Reflects on Band's Hit, 'Green Onions'.  (NPR, 3/5/2003)
Booker T Jones: ‘Green Onions? I’m still learning about it’.  (The Irish Times, 1/5/2015)
Jones played a key role in Memphis’s 1960s soul scene, but his music looks forward, not back



Related posts:
Aretha Franklin's two-sided hit single among the newcomers on Billboard Hot 100 for the week 
ending August 17, 1968.

Iron Butterfly makes its first appearance on Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending August 24, 1968.

Big Brother and the Holding Company makes its first two appearances on Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending August 31, 1968.

Fire! The Crazy World of Arthur Brown debuts with its only single to chart on the Billboard Hot 100. ( For the week ending September 7, 1968)

The Beatles "Hey Jude" debuts in the top ten on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending September 14, 1968

Jimi Hendrix Experience: "All Along the Watchtower" debuts on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending September 21, 1968

Run for your lives, here come the Archies: Bang-shang-a-lang debuts on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending September 28, 1968

"White Room" by Cream debuts as a national breakout on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending October 5, 1968

"Ride My See-Saw" by the Moody Blues debuts on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending October 12, 1968.

"Love Child" by Diana Ross and the Supremes lead the pack of debut singles on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending October 19, 1968

Abraham, Martin & John, the last big hit by Dion, debuts on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending October 26, 1968

Stevie Wonder outperforms Jackie Wilson: Two versions of 'For Once in my Life' debut on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week ending November 2, 1968

Flip or no flip: Illinois 12th congressional district UPDATE


No flip.  Paul Ryan saves the day, although Mike Bost's margin of victory shrank by 8 percentage points. 

Sources:  Ballotpedia (2012, 2014, 2016), CNN (2018)

Editorial: Did GOP candidates really fight for pre-existing conditions coverage?  (St. Louis Post-Dispatch, 10/23/2018)
Lying his way to re-election. Bost’s current congressional website carries the statement: “Since day one in Congress, I have been crystal clear that we must protect individuals with pre-existing conditions from losing coverage.” Yet nothing in his record or on his website supports that claim.

Original 10/15/2017 post, "Paul Ryan-aligned super PAC is out to save the day for Mike Bost (R-Illinois)", starts here.

In 2014, Republican Mike Bost defeated the first-term Democratic incumbent William Enyart by 10.6 percentage points.  His 2016 re-election margin of victory was 14.6 percentage points.  Clearly, the GOP wants to hold this seat, which had been Democratic throughout the 2000s.





Source:  Ballotpedia

Exclusive: Ryan-aligned group to unleash volunteer army Saturday in early election push.  (USA Today, 10/6/2017)
Republicans are afraid, very afraid.  The Congressional Leadership Fund’s “day of action” in 17 House districts comes more than a year before the 2018 midterm elections. The effort, part of the super PAC’s plan to spend $100 million to influence House races, underscores the high stakes of upcoming House battles and marks an early push by Ryan’s allies to ensure that individual House races do not become a referendum on President Trump and his performance.
Sourcegovtrack

Other U.S. House 2018 election outlooks:
Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd.  (10/8/2017)

Jeff Denham, California 10th.  (10/9/2017)
David Valadao, California 21st.   (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ed Royce, California 29th.  (10/12/2017)
Open seat.  California 39th.  (9/6/2018)
Mimi Walters, California 45th.  (2/12/2018)

Scott Tipton, Colorado 3rd.  (11/7/2018 update)
Mike Coffman, Colorado 6th.  (11/8/2018 update)

Dennis Ross, Florida 15th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florida 27th.  (8/31/2018)

Peter Roskam, Illinois 6th.  (11/10/2018 update)
Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (11/10/2018 update)

Rod Blum, Iowa 1st.  (2/12/2018)
David Young, Iowa 3rd.  (9/2/2018)

Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd.  (10/16/2017)

Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th.  (2/12/2018)

Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th.  (2/12/2018)

Jason Lewis, Minnesota 2nd.  (10/12/2018 update)
Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd.  (10/17/2017)

Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd.  (10/18/2017)

Open seat.  New Jersey 2nd.  (10/10/2018)
Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd.  (10/19/2017)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th.  (2/14/2018)

Lee Zeldin, New York 1st.  (2/12/2018)
John Faso, New York 19th.  (2/12/2018)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd.  (10/21/2017)
John Katko, New York 24th.  (2/12/2018)

Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st. (2/12/2018)

Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th.  (10/23/2017)
Pennsylvania 7th.  (8/29/2018)

Will Hurd, Texas 23rd.  (4/15/2018)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd.  (4/15/2018)

Scott Taylor, Virginia 2nd.  (8/28/2018)
Disgraced Tom Garrett.  Virginia 5th.  (9/2/2018)
David Brat, Virginia 7th.  (9/2/2018)

West Virginia 3rd.  (8/28/2018)

Flip or no flip: Illinois' 6th congressional district UPDATE


Flip.  Quite the flip!  A blue wave washes over the western suburbs of Chicagoland.

Sources:  Ballotpedia (2012, 2014, 2016), CNN (2018)

Editorial: Was Trump the undoing of Roskam and Hultgren?  (Chicago Tribune, 11/7/2018)
There could be many explanations for Roskam’s and Hultgren’s defeats. The winners ran well-funded races. Population shifts in the collar counties have brought more Democratic voters to once comfortably Republican districts. But the unpopularity of President Donald Trump among many suburban voters might have been the biggest factor.
The historically conservative Tribune editorial board does not sound particularly happy with these two outcomes.  They endorsed Roskam


Original 9/1/2018 post, "llinois' 6th congressional district is #10 on FiveThirtyEight's list of U.S. House election forecast disagreements",. starts  here.

Republican Peter Roskam is running for a 7th term.

Source:  Ballotpedia 

Election Update: Here Are 25 Districts Where Our Model And Other Experts Disagree.  (FiveThirtyEight, 8/23/2018)

Not Trump country
Trump received 43.2% of the vote in 2016 compared to 53.3% for Romney in 2012 and 47.3% for McCain in 2008.

Clinton received 50.2% of the vote in 2016 compared to 45.1% for Obama in 2012 and 51.3% for Obama in 2008. 

The art of the Illinois gerrymander
Source:  govtrack

Related reading:
Suburban voters angry with Trump threaten GOP control of the U.S. House.  (Chicago Tribune, 3/27/2018)
She is not alone. In Illinois' 6th Congressional District, 62,990 people voted Democratic last week for seven candidates, up from just 8,615 in the 2014 primary. In a district that voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 and Hillary Clinton in 2016, a warning is being sent in letters as big and bold as any that has hung on the outside of a Trump building.  


Other U.S. House 2018 election outlooks:
Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd.  (10/8/2017)

Jeff Denham, California 10th.  (10/9/2017)
David Valadao, California 21st.   (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ed Royce, California 29th.  (10/12/2017)
Open seat.  California 39th.  (9/6/2018)
Mimi Walters, California 45th.  (2/12/2018)

Scott Tipton, Colorado 3rd.  (11/7/2018 update)
Mike Coffman, Colorado 6th.  (11/8/2018 update)

Dennis Ross, Florida 15th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florida 27th.  (8/31/2018)

Peter Roskam, Illinois 6th.  (11/10/2018 update)
Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (10/15/2017)

Rod Blum, Iowa 1st.  (2/12/2018)
David Young, Iowa 3rd.  (9/2/2018)

Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd.  (10/16/2017)

Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th.  (2/12/2018)

Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th.  (2/12/2018)

Jason Lewis, Minnesota 2nd.  (10/12/2018 update)
Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd.  (10/17/2017)

Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd.  (10/18/2017)

Open seat.  New Jersey 2nd.  (10/10/2018)
Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd.  (10/19/2017)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th.  (2/14/2018)

Lee Zeldin, New York 1st.  (2/12/2018)
John Faso, New York 19th.  (2/12/2018)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd.  (10/21/2017)
there John Katko, New York 24th.  (2/12/2018)

Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st. (2/12/2018)

Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th.  (10/23/2017)
Pennsylvania 7th.  (8/29/2018)

Will Hurd, Texas 23rd.  (4/15/2018)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd.  (4/15/2018)

Scott Taylor, Virginia 2nd.  (8/28/2018)
Disgraced Tom Garrett.  Virginia 5th.  (9/2/2018)
David Brat, Virginia 7th.  (9/2/2018)

West Virginia 3rd.  (8/28/2018)

Wisconsin 2018 elections UPDATE: Grant County doesn't quite crack The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats but flips from Scott Walker to Tony Evers


Sources:  Wikipedia (presidential, gubernatorial 201020142018)

2016-2018 decrease in votes for Democrats:       4%
2016-2018 decrease in votes for Republicans:  23%

2014-2018 increase in votes for Democrats:     11%
2014-2018 increase in votes for Republicans:    4%

2012-2014 decrease in votes for Democrats:     36%
2012-2014 decrease in votes for Republicans:    8%

2008-2010 decrease in votes for Democrats:     49%
2008-2010 decrease in votes for Republicans:    5%


Cumulative percentage changes in votes 
from 2016 to 2018

Updated posts:
Wisconsin.  (11/7/2018 update)
Adams County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ashland County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Barron County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Bayfield County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Brown County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Buffalo County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Burnett County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Calumet County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Chippewa County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Clark County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Columbia County. (11/8/2018 update)
Crawford County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dane County. (11/8/2018 update)
Dodge County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Door County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Douglas County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dunn County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Eau Claire County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florence County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Fond du Lac County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Forest County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Grant County.  (11/13/2016)
Green County.  (11/13/2016)
Green Lake County.  (11/13/2016)
Iowa County.  (11/13/2016)
Iron County.  (11/13/2016)
Jackson County.  (11/14/2016)
Jefferson County.  (11/14/2016)
Juneau County.  (11/14/2016)
Kenosha County.   (11/14/2016)
Kewaunee County.  (11/7/2018 update)
La Crosse County.  (11/14/2016)
Lafayette County.  (11/14/2016)
Langlade County.  (11/15/2016)
Lincoln County.  (11/15/2016)
Manitowoc County.  (11/15/2016)
Marathon County.  (11/15/2016)
Marinette County.  (11/15/2016)
Marquette County.  (11/16/2016)
Menominee County.  (11/15/2016)
Milwaukee County.  (11/15/2016)
Monroe County.  (11/16/2016)
Oconto County.  (11/16/2016)
Oneida County.  (11/16/2016)
Outagamie County.  (11/16/2016)
Ozaukee County.  (11/16/2016)
Pepin County.  (11/16/2016)
Pierce County.  (11/16/2016)
Polk County.  (11/17/2016)
Portage County.   (11/17/2016)
Price County.  (11/17/2016)
Racine County.  (11/18/2016)
Richland County.  (11/18/2016)
Rock County.  (11/18/2016)
Rusk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sauk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sawyer County.   (11/18/2016)
Shawano County.  (11/19/2016)
Sheboygan County.  (11/19/2016)
St. Croix County.  (11/19/2016)
Taylor County.  (11/19/2016)
Trempealeau County.  (11/19/2016)
Vernon County.  (11/20/2016)
Vilas County.  (11/20/2016)
Walworth County.  (11/20/2016)
Washburn County.  (11/21/2016)
Washington County,.  (11/21/2016)
Waukesha County.  (11/20/2016)
Waupaca County.  (11/22/2016)
Waushara County.  (11/22/2016)
Winnebago County.  (11/22/2016)
Wood County.  (11/22/2018)


11/13/2016 update starts here.

2016 update:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (100% reporting)

2012-2016 % change in vote by party
  •  +20.4%  Republicans
  •   -26.1%  Democrats
Third party tallies
  • Gary Johnson 1,167 (5%)
  • Jill Stein 308 (1%)

County rankings of vote change by party (Counties where Trump received 60% or more of votes are highlighted)


Original 11/9/2014 post, "Grant County, Wisconsin: The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats", starts here.

2008-2010 drop in Democratic voter participation:  49% vs. 5% for Republicans.
2012-2014 drop in Democratic voter participation:  36% vs. 8% for Republicans.

Walker's vote total increased by 6% in 2014 compared to 2010.  Mary Burke exceeded Tom Barrett's total by 15%.

2008, 2010, and 2012 election figures from the (soon-to-be-snuffed?) Government Accountability Board.  The 2014 figures are preliminary.

Source:  Wikipedia


Wisconsin 2018 elections UPDATE. Forest County nearly cracks The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats with a big assist from Donald Trump


Sources:  Wikipedia (presidential, gubernatorial 201020142018)

2016-2018 decrease in votes for Democrats:       2%
2016-2018 decrease in votes for Republicans:  16%

2014-2018 increase in votes for Democrats:       4%
2014-2018 increase in votes for Republicans:  14%

2012-2014 decrease in votes for Democrats:     40%
2012-2014 decrease in votes for Republicans:    6%

2008-2010 decrease in votes for Democrats:     42%
2008-2010 decrease in votes for Republicans:    9%


Cumulative percentage changes in votes 
from 2016 to 2018

Updated posts:
Wisconsin.  (11/7/2018 update)
Adams County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ashland County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Barron County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Bayfield County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Brown County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Buffalo County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Burnett County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Calumet County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Chippewa County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Clark County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Columbia County. (11/8/2018 update)
Crawford County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dane County. (11/8/2018 update)
Dodge County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Door County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Douglas County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dunn County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Eau Claire County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florence County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Fond du Lac County.  (11/10/2018 update)
Forest County.  (11/12/2016)
Grant County.  (11/13/2016)
Green County.  (11/13/2016)
Green Lake County.  (11/13/2016)
Iowa County.  (11/13/2016)
Iron County.  (11/13/2016)
Jackson County.  (11/14/2016)
Jefferson County.  (11/14/2016)
Juneau County.  (11/14/2016)
Kenosha County.   (11/14/2016)
Kewaunee County.  (11/7/2018 update)
La Crosse County.  (11/14/2016)
Lafayette County.  (11/14/2016)
Langlade County.  (11/15/2016)
Lincoln County.  (11/15/2016)
Manitowoc County.  (11/15/2016)
Marathon County.  (11/15/2016)
Marinette County.  (11/15/2016)
Marquette County.  (11/16/2016)
Menominee County.  (11/15/2016)
Milwaukee County.  (11/15/2016)
Monroe County.  (11/16/2016)
Oconto County.  (11/16/2016)
Oneida County.  (11/16/2016)
Outagamie County.  (11/16/2016)
Ozaukee County.  (11/16/2016)
Pepin County.  (11/16/2016)
Pierce County.  (11/16/2016)
Polk County.  (11/17/2016)
Portage County.   (11/17/2016)
Price County.  (11/17/2016)
Racine County.  (11/18/2016)
Richland County.  (11/18/2016)
Rock County.  (11/18/2016)
Rusk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sauk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sawyer County.   (11/18/2016)
Shawano County.  (11/19/2016)
Sheboygan County.  (11/19/2016)
St. Croix County.  (11/19/2016)
Taylor County.  (11/19/2016)
Trempealeau County.  (11/19/2016)
Vernon County.  (11/20/2016)
Vilas County.  (11/20/2016)
Walworth County.  (11/20/2016)
Washburn County.  (11/21/2016)
Washington County,.  (11/21/2016)
Waukesha County.  (11/20/2016)
Waupaca County.  (11/22/2016)
Waushara County.  (11/22/2016)
Winnebago County.  (11/22/2016)
Wood County.  (11/22/2018)


11/12/2016 update starts here.

2016 update:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (100% reporting)

2012-2016 % change in vote by party
  •  +28.3%  Republicans
  •   -34.7%  Democrats
Third party tallies
  • Gary Johnson 80 (2%)
  • Jill Stein 36 (1%)

County rankings of vote change by party

Counties where Trump won 60% or more of the vote are highlighted. 

Original 11/9/2014 post, "Forest County, Wisconsin: The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats", starts here.


2008-2010 drop in Democratic voter participation:  41.5% vs. 9% for Republicans.
2012-2014 drop in Democratic voter participation:  40% vs. 6% for Republicans.

Walker's vote total increased by 14% in 2014 compared to 2010.  Mary Burke's total was 4% less than Tom Barrett's.

2008, 2010, and 2012 election figures from the (soon-to-be-snuffed?) Government Accountability Board.  The 2014 figures are preliminary.

Source:  Wikipedia


Wisconsin 2018 elections UPDATE. Is Fond du Lac County too red to crack The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats in any meaningful way?


Sources:  Wikipedia (presidential, gubernatorial 201020142018)

2016-2018 decrease in votes for Democrats:       4%
2016-2018 decrease in votes for Republicans:  10%

2014-2018 increase in votes for Democrats:     10%
2014-2018 increase in votes for Republicans:    2%

2012-2014 decrease in votes for Democrats:     33%
2012-2014 decrease in votes for Republicans:  10%

2008-2010 decrease in votes for Democrats:     43%
2008-2010 decrease in votes for Republicans:  13%


Cumulative percentage changes in votes 
from 2016 to 2018

Updated posts:
Wisconsin.  (11/7/2018 update)
Adams County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ashland County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Barron County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Bayfield County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Brown County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Buffalo County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Burnett County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Calumet County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Chippewa County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Clark County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Columbia County. (11/8/2018 update)
Crawford County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dane County. (11/8/2018 update)
Dodge County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Door County.  (11/7/2018 update)
Douglas County.  (11/8/2018 update)
Dunn County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Eau Claire County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florence County.  (11/9/2018 update)
Fond du Lac County.  (11/12/2016)
Forest County.  (11/12/2016)
Grant County.  (11/13/2016)
Green County.  (11/13/2016)
Green Lake County.  (11/13/2016)
Iowa County.  (11/13/2016)
Iron County.  (11/13/2016)
Jackson County.  (11/14/2016)
Jefferson County.  (11/14/2016)
Juneau County.  (11/14/2016)
Kenosha County.   (11/14/2016)
Kewaunee County.  (11/7/2018 update)
La Crosse County.  (11/14/2016)
Lafayette County.  (11/14/2016)
Langlade County.  (11/15/2016)
Lincoln County.  (11/15/2016)
Manitowoc County.  (11/15/2016)
Marathon County.  (11/15/2016)
Marinette County.  (11/15/2016)
Marquette County.  (11/16/2016)
Menominee County.  (11/15/2016)
Milwaukee County.  (11/15/2016)
Monroe County.  (11/16/2016)
Oconto County.  (11/16/2016)
Oneida County.  (11/16/2016)
Outagamie County.  (11/16/2016)
Ozaukee County.  (11/16/2016)
Pepin County.  (11/16/2016)
Pierce County.  (11/16/2016)
Polk County.  (11/17/2016)
Portage County.   (11/17/2016)
Price County.  (11/17/2016)
Racine County.  (11/18/2016)
Richland County.  (11/18/2016)
Rock County.  (11/18/2016)
Rusk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sauk County.  (11/18/2016)
Sawyer County.   (11/18/2016)
Shawano County.  (11/19/2016)
Sheboygan County.  (11/19/2016)
St. Croix County.  (11/19/2016)
Taylor County.  (11/19/2016)
Trempealeau County.  (11/19/2016)
Vernon County.  (11/20/2016)
Vilas County.  (11/20/2016)
Walworth County.  (11/20/2016)
Washburn County.  (11/21/2016)
Washington County,.  (11/21/2016)
Waukesha County.  (11/20/2016)
Waupaca County.  (11/22/2016)
Waushara County.  (11/22/2016)
Winnebago County.  (11/22/2016)
Wood County.  (11/22/2018)


11/12/2016 update starts here.

2016 update:  Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (100% reporting)

2012-2016 % change in vote by party
  •  +2.2%  Republicans
  •   -22.2%  Democrats
Third party tallies
  • Gary Johnson 1,910 (4%)
  • Jill Stein 449 (1%)

County rankings of vote change by party.  (Counties where Trump received 60% or more of votes are highlighted)


Original 11/8/2014 post, "Fond du Lac County, Wisconsin: The Case of the Quadrennial Democrats", starts here.


2008-2010 drop in Democratic voter participation:  43% vs. 13% for Republicans.
2012-2014 drop in Democratic voter participation:  33% vs. 9.5% for Republicans.

Walker's vote total increased by 3,066 votes (12.6%) in 2014 compared to 2010.  Mary Burke exceeded Tom Barrett's vote total by 14%

2008, 2010, and 2012 election figures from the (soon-to-be-snuffed?) Government Accountability Board.  The 2014 figures are preliminary.

Source:  Wikipedia