Wednesday, June 5, 2019

Flip or no flip: Minnesota 2nd congressional district UPDATE: Democrat Angie Craig stays focused on the issues

Reported in In one swing House district, a Democrat’s focus is on anything but impeachment.  (Boston Globe, 6/4/2019)

11/15/2018 Flip or no flip update starts here.

Flip.  Democrat Angie Craig defeats incumbent Republican Jason Lewis by 5.6 percentage points.

Sources:  Ballotpedia (2012, 2014, 2016), CNN (2018)

OK, well at least the 2 polls had Craig winning.

Another example of the Trump Effect unending a GOP incumbent.  Craig defeated the freshman congressman in the Second Congressional District after losing to him two years ago. The district, which includes southeastern Twin Cities suburbs and areas to the south, is one of a handful of races targeted by both parties in the intense battle for control of the House.

10/12/2018 update, " It will, it won't, it can, it can't:   Newspaper caption states the obvious", starts here.

The Straits Times (fromm iPhone screenshot)

Angie Craig appears to be doing quite well in her face against the GOP incumbent.

Source:  Real Clear Politics

Original 7/19/2018 post starts here.

Rep. Jason Lewis was first elected to Congress in November 2016.  One and done?

Source:  Ballotpedia

Republican congressman has long history of misogynistic comments, CNN reports.  (CNN, 7/18/2018)
Rep. Jason Lewis repeatedly insulted and demeaned women as host of a syndicated radio show that ran from 2009 to 2014, CNN's KFile investigative team found after listening to more than 15 months of audio from the "Jason Lewis Show." CNN said the audio was given to KFile by Michael Brodkorb, the former deputy chair of the Republican Party of Minnesota.

Trump received 46.5% of the vote in 2016 compared to 49.0% for Romney in 2012 and 47.6% for McCain in 2008.

Clinton received 46.5% of the vote in 2016 compared to 49.1% for Obama in 2012 and 50.5% for Obama in 2008. 

Source:  govtrack

Other U.S. House 2018 election outlooks:
Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd.  (10/8/2017)

Jeff Denham, California 10th.  (10/9/2017)
David Valadao, California 21st.   (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th.  (11/7/2018 update)
Ed Royce, California 29th.  (10/12/2017)
Open seat.  California 39th.  (9/6/2018)
Mimi Walters, California 45th.  (2/12/2018)

Scott Tipton, Colorado 3rd.  (11/7/2018 update)
Mike Coffman, Colorado 6th.  (11/8/2018 update)

Dennis Ross, Florida 15th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th.  (11/9/2018 update)
Florida 27th.  (8/31/2018)

Peter Roskam, Illinois 6th.  (11/10/2018 update)
Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (11/10/2018 update)

Rod Blum, Iowa 1st.  (11/11/2018 update)
David Young, Iowa 3rd.  (11/11/2018 update)

Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd.  (11/12/2018 update)

Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th.  (11/12/2018 update)

Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th.  (11/13/2018 update)

Jason Lewis, Minnesota 2nd.  (11/15/2018 update)
Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd.  (10/17/2017)

Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd.  (10/18/2017)

Open seat.  New Jersey 2nd.  (10/10/2018)
Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd.  (10/19/2017)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th.  (2/14/2018)

Lee Zeldin, New York 1st.  (2/12/2018)
John Faso, New York 19th.  (2/12/2018)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd.  (10/21/2017)
John Katko, New York 24th.  (2/12/2018)

Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st. (2/12/2018)

Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th.  (10/23/2017)
Pennsylvania 7th.  (8/29/2018)

Will Hurd, Texas 23rd.  (4/15/2018)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd.  (4/15/2018)

Scott Taylor, Virginia 2nd.  (8/28/2018)
Disgraced Tom Garrett.  Virginia 5th.  (9/2/2018)
David Brat, Virginia 7th.  (9/2/2018)

West Virginia 3rd.  (8/28/2018)

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