Saturday, May 5, 2018

Trump tariffs, possible trade war could help flip Washington's 8th congressional district

Rep. Dave Reichert was first elected to Congress in November 2004.  He is not running for re-election this fall.

Tariff Impact Colors a Key House Race in Boeing Country.  (The New York Times, 5/3/2018)
“I’m concerned a potential trade war could affect work for our members and work for me,” Mr. Cesmat said. “Thousands of people’s jobs rely on a working relationship with China.” 
Nowhere is that truer than in Washington, which sent $18 billion in goods to China last year, more than any other state. A congressional race here has become a crucial test of whether Mr. Trump’s upending of the norms of international trade will come at the expense of Republican candidates.

Source:  Ballotpedia

Trump received 44.7% of the vote in 2016 compared to 49.7% for Romney in 2012 and 46.8% for McCain in 2008.

Clinton received 47.7% of the vote in 2016 compared to 48.1% for Obama in 2012 and 51.8% for Obama in 2008. 

Source:  govtrack

Other retirements/resignations:
Martha McSally, Arizona 2nd.  (10/8/2017)

Jeff Denham, California 10th.  (10/9/2017)
David Valadao, California 21st.   (10/10/2017)
Steve Knight, California 25th.  (10/11/2017)
Ed Royce, California 29th.  (10/12/2017)
Mimi Walters, California 45th.  (2/12/2018)

Dennis Ross, Florida 15th.  (4/12/2018)
Brian Mast, Florida 18th.  (10/13/2017)
Carlos Curbelo, Florida 26th.  (10/14/2017)

Mike Bost, Illinois 12th. (10/15/2017)

Rod Blum, Iowa 1st CD.  (2/12/2018)

Kevin Yoder, Kansas 3rd.  (10/16/2017)

Andy Barr, Kentucky 6th CD.  (2/12/2018)

Mike Bishop, Michigan 8th CD.  (2/12/2018)

Erik Paulsen, Minnesota 3rd.  (10/17/2017)

Don Bacon, Nebraska 2nd.  (10/18/2017)

Tom MacArthur, New Jersey 3rd.  (10/19/2017)
Leonard Lance, New Jersey 7th.  (2/14/2018)

Lee Zeldin, New York 1st CD.  (2/12/2018)
John Faso, New York 19th CD.  (2/12/2018)
Claudia Tenney, New York 22nd.  (10/21/2017)
John Katko, New York 24th CD.  (2/12/2018)

Steve Chabot, Ohio 1st CD. (2/12/2018)

Ryan Costello, Pennsylvania 6th.  (10/23/2017)

Will Hurd, Texas 23rd.  (4/15/2018)
Pete Sessions, Texas 32nd.  (4/15/2018)

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