Monday, February 1, 2016

New Hampshire outlier Emerson* sneaks in an Iowa caucus poll at the last minute

Opinion Savvy, too.  (1/29-30.) This newby isn't included on the list of FiveThirtyEight's pollster ratings from 2014.

Attention-getting, to be sure.  (Especially the tied-up-in-a-knot part.)

The rest of the pack in the 1/29-30 Opinion Savvy poll:
  • 9% - Rand Paul, Ben Carson
  • 5% - Jeb Bush
  • 4% - Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, Carly Fiorina
  • 3% - Chris Christie
  • 2% - Rick Santorum
The behinders in the 1/29-31 Emerson poll:
  • 4% - Jeb Bush, John Kasich
  • 3% - Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Chris Christie
  • 2% - Carly Fiorina
  • 1% - Rick Santorum

Changes since January 15-24 averages
  • Trump down 4.8
  • Cruz down 3.8
  • Rubio up 4.7

*Bush at 18%.

Recent Iowa caucus posts: 
Trump, Cruz lose steam going into tomorrow's Iowa caucuses.  (1/31/2016)
2 most recent Iowa caucus polls maintain candidates' separate trendlines.  (1/28/2016)
Rubio, Carson gain, Trump, Cruz lose ground in latest Iowa caucuses poll.  (1/27/2016)
Trump losing momentum, Cruz gaining going into final week before Iowa caucuses.  (1/26/2016)
Still Trump in 1st and Cruz 2nd in 2 latest Iowa GOP Presidential caucus polls.  (1/24/2016)
Iowa Republican Presidential caucus poll of the hour has Trump solidly in 1st place.  (1/21/2016)
Cruz edges his way into 1st in latest Iowa caucus poll.  (1/21/2016 )
Trump gets a little breathing room in latest Iowa poll; Rubio's stock flags.  (1/14/2016)
Trump and Cruz head for a showdown in Iowa.  (1/12/2016)
Pushing aside Cruz, Trump elbows his way into 1st in two most recent Iowa caucus polls.  (1/11/2016)
Cruz/Trump remain one/two in 2nd Iowa caucus poll of year.  (1/10/2016)
It's turned into an Archie Bell & the Drells moment.  (1/9/2016)

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